In this course I will give an introduction to prognostic models. We will read and understand studies presenting predicitive models, how they are done and how to critically appraise them.
Basic concepts, such as survival, the life table, and the Kaplan-Meier method will be covered during the first day, and we will make one Kaplan-Meier estimation by hand. Design topics in studies where prognosis is the studied outcome will also be discussed, for example potential biases in comparing prognostic data between places and over time periods.
Objective
- Understanding the basic concepts in prognosis research.